{"id":6420,"date":"2019-11-23T15:06:25","date_gmt":"2019-11-23T15:06:25","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/fmportugal.net\/?p=6420"},"modified":"2026-10-16T09:06:12","modified_gmt":"2026-10-16T09:06:12","slug":"river-vs-flamengo-a-simulacao","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/fmportugal.net\/en\/river-vs-flamengo-a-simulacao\/","title":{"rendered":"River or Flamengo? FM simulated the Libertadores final 50 times"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Before the 2019 Copa Libertadores final, those in charge of <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/FM_Argentina\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">scouting the Argentine league in Football Manager<\/a> decided to ask the question everyone was asking: who wins, River Plate or Flamengo?<\/p>\n<p>To answer it, they simulated the final 50 times, with everything as close to reality as possible:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>each coach\u2019s tactical setup;<\/li>\n<li>the playing dynamics;<\/li>\n<li>the available players.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/fmportugal.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/Flamengo-River_-Alineaciones.png\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/fmportugal.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/Flamengo-River_-Alineaciones.png\" alt=\"River vs Flamengo A Simula\u00e7\u00e3o\" width=\"1366\" height=\"768\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<div id=\"ez-toc-container\" class=\"ez-toc-v2_0_89 counter-hierarchy ez-toc-counter ez-toc-grey ez-toc-container-direction\">\n<div class=\"ez-toc-title-container\">\n<p class=\"ez-toc-title\" style=\"cursor:inherit\">Index<\/p>\n<span class=\"ez-toc-title-toggle\"><a href=\"#\" class=\"ez-toc-pull-right ez-toc-btn ez-toc-btn-xs ez-toc-btn-default ez-toc-toggle\" aria-label=\"Toggle Table of Content\"><span class=\"ez-toc-js-icon-con\"><span class=\"\"><span class=\"eztoc-hide\" style=\"display:none;\">Toggle<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-icon-toggle-span\"><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" class=\"list-377408\" width=\"20px\" height=\"20px\" viewbox=\"0 0 24 24\" fill=\"none\"><path d=\"M6 6H4v2h2V6zm14 0H8v2h12V6zM4 11h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2zM4 16h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2z\" fill=\"currentColor\"><\/path><\/svg><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" class=\"arrow-unsorted-368013\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"10px\" height=\"10px\" viewbox=\"0 0 24 24\" version=\"1.2\" baseprofile=\"tiny\"><path d=\"M18.2 9.3l-6.2-6.3-6.2 6.3c-.2.2-.3.4-.3.7s.1.5.3.7c.2.2.4.3.7.3h11c.3 0 .5-.1.7-.3.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7zM5.8 14.7l6.2 6.3 6.2-6.3c.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7c-.2-.2-.4-.3-.7-.3h-11c-.3 0-.5.1-.7.3-.2.2-.3.5-.3.7s.1.5.3.7z\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span><\/div>\n<nav><ul class='ez-toc-list ez-toc-list-level-1' ><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-1\" href=\"https:\/\/fmportugal.net\/en\/river-vs-flamengo-a-simulacao\/#Quase_empate_tecnico\" >Almost a dead heat<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-2\" href=\"https:\/\/fmportugal.net\/en\/river-vs-flamengo-a-simulacao\/#As_curiosidades\" >The trivia<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-3\" href=\"https:\/\/fmportugal.net\/en\/river-vs-flamengo-a-simulacao\/#Experimenta_tu\" >Try it yourself<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Quase_empate_tecnico\"><\/span>Almost a dead heat<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>After the 50 simulations, a minimal edge for Meng\u00e3o: 26 wins to the Argentines\u2019 24. Numbers that show how evenly matched the two best teams in South America were at the time.<\/p>\n<p>River were stronger in possession (51.9% on average) and in long-range shots that ended up in the net.<\/p>\n<p>Jorge Jesus\u2019s side had 100 more shots on Franco Armani\u2019s goal, but that only translated into 14 more goals than their rivals.<\/p>\n<p>For River, the goals came from Nicol\u00e1s De la Cruz (10), Ignacio Fern\u00e1ndez (9) and our old friend Enzo P\u00e9rez (7). Flamengo were better at set pieces (17 goals to 10) and, above all, at creating clear-cut chances (104 to 32).<\/p>\n<p>Result: Gabigol scored 26 goals and was the top scorer of these simulations.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/fmportugal.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/Gabriel-Barbosa.png\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/fmportugal.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/Gabriel-Barbosa.png\" width=\"1342\" height=\"570\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"As_curiosidades\"><\/span>The trivia<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li>Flamengo opened the scoring most often, forcing River to chase the game.<\/li>\n<li>River only scored first in second halves.<\/li>\n<li>The most common scores were 2-1 and 1-0, seven times each, always in favor of the Rio side.<\/li>\n<li>There were five 1-1 draws, decided on penalties.<\/li>\n<li>River\u2019s most common win was 2-0, with the second goal coming on the counter against a Flamengo side pushing for an equalizer.<\/li>\n<li>There were also some \u201cstrange\u201d results: two 4-0s (one each way), a 4-3 for River, a 4-4 and a 5-2 for Flamengo.<\/li>\n<li>Arrascaeta was the most decisive player, with 8 man of the match awards and 16 assists. Next came Filipe Lu\u00eds, with 6 (he was beaten only 29 times in 50 games), and Enzo P\u00e9rez, with 5.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/fmportugal.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/Arrascaeta.png\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/fmportugal.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/Arrascaeta.png\" alt=\"River vs Flamengo A Simula\u00e7\u00e3o\" width=\"1345\" height=\"572\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>At the other end, Everton Ribeiro was the worst player on the pitch seven times, followed by Mat\u00edas Su\u00e1rez (6) and Milton Casco (5).<\/li>\n<li>Exequiel Palacios stood out in passing: 90.8% accuracy and the best in this department in 19 simulations.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/fmportugal.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/Exequiel-Palacios.png\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/fmportugal.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/Exequiel-Palacios.png\" alt=\"River vs Flamengo A Simula\u00e7\u00e3o\" width=\"1342\" height=\"572\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Gonzalo Montiel committed the most fouls, with 4.4 per game.<\/li>\n<li>The Argentines were quick to boil over: Lucas Mart\u00ednez Quarta and Milton Casco were sent off three times each, and Montiel and De la Cruz twice.<\/li>\n<li>For Meng\u00e3o, Filipe Lu\u00eds saw red twice, and Rodrigo Caio and Bruno Henrique once each.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Experimenta_tu\"><\/span>Try it yourself<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>Want to check for yourself? Here is the simulation file to download:<\/p>\n<a rel=\"nofollow noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/fmportugal.net\/en\/download\/?fmpt_dl=8ae35c107021\" class=\"su-button su-button-style-default\" style=\"color:#FFFFFF;background-color:#ff00a5;border-color:#cc0084;border-radius:8px\" target=\"_self\"><span style=\"color:#FFFFFF;padding:7px 22px;font-size:17px;line-height:26px;border-color:#ff4dc0;border-radius:8px;text-shadow:none\"><i class=\"sui sui-download\" style=\"font-size:17px;color:#FFFFFF\"><\/i> Download \u2013 River vs Flamengo \u2013 The Simulation<\/span><\/a>\n<p>In real life, remember, the final ended 2-1 to Flamengo, with two late Gabigol goals. FM was not far off this time, was it?<\/p>\n<div class=\"fmpt-le-tambem\" style=\"border-left:4px solid #1e88e5;padding:12px 16px;margin:24px 0;background:rgba(30,136,229,.06)\">\n<p style=\"margin:0 0 6px\"><strong>Read also<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul style=\"margin:0\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/fmportugal.net\/en\/flamengo-na-primeira-liga-portuguesa-a-simulacao\/\">Jorge Jesus\u2019s Flamengo in the Portuguese league: the FM2020 simulation<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/fmportugal.net\/en\/flamengo-na-premier-league-simulacao-e-resultados\/\">What if Flamengo played in the Premier League? FM answered<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/fmportugal.net\/en\/real-madrid-na-serie-b-brasileira\/\">Real Madrid in Brazil\u2019s S\u00e9rie B: the FM2019 simulation<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n<p><em>Fonte: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.lanacion.com.ar\/deportes\/river-flamengo-copa-libertadores-quien-gano-mas-50-nid2308989\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">La Naci\u00f3n<\/a><\/em><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Antes da final da Libertadores de 2019, a final entre River Plate e Flamengo foi simulada 50 vezes no Football Manager. O equil\u00edbrio foi quase total, e o Gabigol fartou-se de marcar.<\/p>","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":19451,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_fmpt_dev_nome":"","_fmpt_dev_site":"","_fmpt_versao":"","_fmpt_ficheiros":[],"_fmpt_changelog":[],"_fmpt_thumbnail_en":19451,"_fmpt_metadesc_en":"","_fmpt_content_en":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[2,57],"tags":[230,358,627,1092],"class_list":["post-6420","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-artigos","category-fun","tag-simulacao","tag-flamengo","tag-jorge-jesus","tag-curiosidades"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.8 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>River ou Flamengo? 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O FM simulou a final 50 vezes - FMPortugal","description":"Simula\u00e7\u00e3o da final da Copa Libertadores, River vs Flamengo, onde Jorge Jesus procurar\u00e1 chegar ao Olimpo. Vejam quem mais vezes ganhou e o maior goleador","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/fmportugal.net\/en\/river-vs-flamengo-a-simulacao\/","og_locale":"en_US","og_type":"article","og_title":"River ou Flamengo? O FM simulou a final 50 vezes - FMPortugal","og_description":"Simula\u00e7\u00e3o da final da Copa Libertadores, River vs Flamengo, onde Jorge Jesus procurar\u00e1 chegar ao Olimpo. 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